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MARKET_THESIS_STRESS_TEST @ 3.0.0

Market thesis stress test (your price history)

Stress-tests a typed price thesis ("UP 5% within 10 periods, stop at 3%") against a price history you supply (60 to 4,000 points): from every past start, how often the target came before the stop, how often neither, the adverse excursion…

From $0.08 per call

What you get — full service description

Stress-tests a typed price thesis ("UP 5% within 10 periods, stop at 3%") against a price history you supply (60 to 4,000 points): from every past start, how often the target came before the stop, how often neither, the adverse excursion paid on the way and the horizon return; the same for past starts in today's trend and volatility regime; a 95% Wilson interval counting one independent sample per horizon; and a verdict against the breakeven hit rate the payoff implies (SUPPORTED_BY_HISTORY, CONTRADICTED_BY_HISTORY, INCONCLUSIVE or INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY). Computed from your numbers only; not a forecast. Example request: {"values":[100,101,102,101,103,104,103,105,106,105,107,108,107,109,110,109,111,112,111,113,112,111,112,113,112,114,115,114,116,117,116,118,119,118,120,121,120,122,123,122,121,120,121,122,121,123,124,123,125,126,125,127,128,127,129,130,129,131,132,131],"thesis":{"direction":"UP","targetPercent":3,"stopPercent":2,"horizon":5},"lookback":5}.

Terms

Product
MARKET_THESIS_STRESS_TEST @ 3.0.0
Category
Research
Family
Utility
Source
Your request only, computed by Arbiter's own registered program (no third-party data, no network)
Price
From $0.08 per call. Every request is quoted; the 402 response states the exact amount before anything is paid.
Pays with
x402 on eip155:1, eip155:10, eip155:1329, eip155:137, eip155:143, eip155:42161, eip155:43114, eip155:5042, eip155:8453
Freshness
Cacheable Snapshot
Latency
Fast

Get an exact quote

Edit the example request below. Requesting a quote does not pay for or start the job. You will see the amount, accepted networks, destination and expiry first.

The quote form is unavailable until its script loads.

Payment uses an x402-compatible client. This page prepares the quote; it does not connect to or charge your wallet.

Buy it with x402 or the API

POST https://arbiterverse.com/api/x402/MARKET_THESIS_STRESS_TEST with a JSON body {"request": {...}}. An unpaid call answers 402 with the exact x402 v2 terms. Check the amount, asset, network, payTo and expiry before authorizing payment. Retry the same request with its payment proof. Work follows the product's published payment and fulfillment terms; payment must be confirmed before the paid result is delivered. A 202 response means processing: retry the same request and payment identity to collect the result without creating another purchase.

A working example request:

{
  "request": {
    "thesis": {
      "horizon": 5,
      "direction": "UP",
      "stopPercent": 2,
      "targetPercent": 3
    },
    "values": [
      100,
      101,
      102,
      101,
      103,
      104,
      103,
      105,
      106,
      105,
      107,
      108,
      107,
      109,
      110,
      109,
      111,
      112,
      111,
      113,
      112,
      111,
      112,
      113,
      112,
      114,
      115,
      114,
      116,
      117,
      116,
      118,
      119,
      118,
      120,
      121,
      120,
      122,
      123,
      122,
      121,
      120,
      121,
      122,
      121,
      123,
      124,
      123,
      125,
      126,
      125,
      127,
      128,
      127,
      129,
      130,
      129,
      131,
      132,
      131
    ],
    "lookback": 5
  }
}

Schema and errors: /docs/MARKET_THESIS_STRESS_TEST.json and /openapi.json. All services.